Fertilizers Market

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Fertilizer Market Insights and Forecasting

Macro-economic factors create volatile conditions in global fertilizer markets. Navigate uncertainty using our current market information and price discovery tools, and medium- or long-term market outlooks, to make informed investment and planning decisions.

Key facts about the global fertilizer market

Global fertilizer exports in 2018 totalled 228 million tonnes, up 20% in five years.
Global fertilizer demand increased 9% in the five years to 2018 to total 730 million tonnes.
Total global fertilizer production and supply topped 805 million tonnes in 2018, meaning supply was greater than demand. Overall supply increased 12% in the five years since 2013.
The global ammonia market amounts to 181 million tonnes, of which just 10% (19 million tonnes) is traded on the world market.
Over 200 million tonnes of phosphate rock is mined every year, but only 30 million tonnes is traded internationally, with the balance processed at source into either phosphoric acid (the key phosphate intermediate) or finished fertilizers.

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Fertilizer sectors

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Ammonia

Ammonia is one of the most widely produced industrial chemicals in the world. It is the primary component used to produce all nitrogen containing fertilizers (urea, nitrates, ammonium sulphate, MAP and DAP), and is important in the manufacture of a wide range of industrial chemicals.

Nitrates

Nitrate fertilizers are, next to urea, an important nitrogen source for crops around the world. The three main nitrate fertilizers – urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), ammonium nitrate (AN) and calcium ammonium nitrate (CAN) – in contrast to urea, contain nitrogen in the nitrate form, which can be directly taken up by plants.

Phosphates

Phosphorus is one of the three main macronutrients required in agriculture, along with nitrogen and potassium. Plants absorb phosphorus as phosphate where it is a critical raw material for plant cells, where is plays a role in energy storage and transfer, photosynthesis, respiration and cell division.

Potash

As one of the three main macronutrients, the potash industry supplies over 45 million tonnes of nutrient (K2O) to the global farming community, at a value exceeding $17 billion annually. Potassium is vital for all plants as it plays a key role in water uptake and the synthesis of plant material, improving plant health.

Sulphur

Within agriculture, sulphur is consumed as a plant nutrient, but most importantly as an intermediate in the production of phosphoric acid, and therefore for phosphate fertilizers. Almost all sulphur is used in the production of sulphuric acid, which is the most widely used inorganic chemical worldwide.

Urea

Nitrogen is by far the largest of the three primary nutrients required by plants for strong and heathy growth. Urea is the most widely used nitrogen fertilizer in the world, accounting for some 62% of global demand for this key nutrient.

Who we help

Trader

Changes in the macroeconomic landscape cause price sensitivity, making it difficult to trade at the right price and time. Spot opportunities and ensure you maximize profit by using accurate and timely price discovery and reporting on the latest deals and tenders available on the market.

Buyer

Maintaining a steady flow of supply whilst also maintaining positive profit margins is crucial. Our reports offer a forward-view on potential disruptions to supply and demand helping you to mitigate risk, as well as advise procurement strategy with the latest prices published weekly.

Analyst

A detailed understanding of long-term market trends is key to guiding strategic planning. Our in-depth markets analysis and price forecasting out to 2030 inform future investment opportunities, as well as help you mitigate risk exposure for your business.

Solutions

At IHS Markit we offer market-leading fertilizer information solutions via our globally recognised Fertecon service. Specialists in offering comprehensive data and analysis across the global fertilizer market, with current, short-term and long-term solutions to support all operational needs in your organisation.

Current price reports

Weekly and Bi-Weekly Reports

Accurate price discovery across 150 key active price benchmarks as well as current information for global fertilizer markets across the core nutrients: Ammonia, Urea, Nitrates, Phosphates, Potash, Sulphur, Sulphuric Acid.

More About Our Methodology

Regional Reports

In-depth analysis of fertilizer markets by region, detailing key projects, forecasts on supply and demand for three key markets: Europe, US and World.

Short-term price forecasts

Monthly Futures Reports

Comprehensive analysis of short-term market developments, shipment lists, product cost analysis and short-term market outlook across the core nutrients: Ammonia, Urea, Nitrates, Phosphates and Sulphur.

Long-term market outlooks

Quarterly Market Reports

In-depth analysis of each market, detailing key projects and 10-year future forecasting for supply, demand, prices and costs across the core nutrients: Ammonia, Urea, Nitrates, Phosphates, Potash and Sulphur.

Bespoke solutions

API and Data Feeds

Pricing, supply-demand and forecasts delivered directly to your organisation to support centralised models and trading systems used by team members across your business.

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One-time Data Exports

Over three decades of historical pricing, production and trade data across all core nutrients available to purchase to support your organisation with strategic analysis and economic modelling.

Consulting

Consulting services spanning all your needs in the fertilizer markets, from long-term forecasting beyond what is available in our subscription services to market studies for financial investments reviewing everything from market forecasts to competitor intelligence.